Recent exit polls indicate a competitive landscape in West Bengal, with the BJP and TMC engaged in a close contest as of April 29, 2026. The data suggests that the BJP-led NDA is projected to secure a clear majority in Assam and Puducherry, while the DMK-led coalition appears to lead in Tamil Nadu.
Key projections:
- The PMARQ survey estimates that the TMC-led alliance could win between 118 and 138 seats, whereas the BJP is projected to secure between 150 and 175 seats.
- Matrize figures suggest a range of 125 to 140 seats for TMC+ and 146 to 161 for BJP.
- The JVC analysis indicates that TMC+ may achieve between 131 and 152 seats compared to the BJP’s anticipated range of 138 to 159.
- Furthermore, the Congress party is expected to secure only two seats based on these projections.
The exit polls were conducted following the conclusion of the second phase of voting in West Bengal elections. This election cycle has drawn considerable attention due to the strong presence of Mamata Banerjee’s TMC, which seeks to retain power amid increasing competition from the BJP.
In contrast, Tamil Nadu elections seem favorable for the DMK coalition, which has garnered significant support. The UDF leads in Kerala elections as well, indicating a varied political landscape across states.
Observers anticipate that these results will shape party strategies moving forward, particularly as they relate to upcoming electoral contests. The performance of actor-turned-politician Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) also remains a point of interest, given its projected surge according to Axis My India.
